Devils Tendy Trends

 Trigger Warning: We will be discussing last years Goaltending







With nearly a quarter of the season gone after tonight’s game vs Florida, I wanted to do a deep dive into the improvements of our goaltending situation compared to last year. After last season I think our fanbase suffers from some serious PTSD when it comes to our goaltending (rightfully so, last year was a tough pill to swallow). Below I will be comparing the overall stats through the first nineteen games, looking into the underlying advanced stats thanks to the NHL EDGE analytics and give my thoughts on improvements Markstrom & Allen could make. 

 

                   Team Goaltending Stats Through 19 games 

                                         2023                          2024
Goals Against                   69                              50
GAA                                 3.63                           2.63
Save %                           .887%                        .910%
Shots Against                  548                             523
Saves                                486                             476
Shutouts                            0                                 3
Record                            9-9-1                        11-6-1

 

We all know it is obvious that we have had a massive upgrade in goal but one of the questions I have seen thrown around is if the upgrade in goal or on defense playing a significant role in this improvement. I do believe the upgrades we have made on the back end are a major improvement and that is seen with our drop in shots against per game from 29.2(9th in the league) to 27.7(8th in the league). The addition of Markstrom & Allen has been the major key to our success at this point last year we ranked 28th in the league in GAA compared to our GAA sitting at the 6th best in the league this year. 

 

                                AP Goalie Analytics 

       Save %                    Vitek              Akira             Marky               Allen
High Danger Shots         .743                .798               .807                  .857

Mid-Range Shots            .903                .882               .860                  .920

Long Range Shots          .978                .970               .981                  .952

All Locations                 .890                .895                .908                 .914

 

As we look at these numbers it confirms the observations that our goaltending has improved but consistency is our issue to start the year. The most glaring observation is the fact that Markstrom & Allen both had worse save percentages than Vitek & Akira in the Mid-Range & Long Range shot categories. Allens numbers took huge hit in his game vs Tampa where he was both unlucky and played poorly. He is posting his best numbers in the High Danger, Mid-Range, and All Locations since the NHL started tracking these stats back in 2022. So, it will be curious to see in the next 6-10 starts if he can continue to keep the numbers at this level or if he will drop towards his mean save percentage over the last three seasons. 

In Markstroms situation he is hitting his best number for Low Range shots but has been struggling with the High Danger and Mid-Range shots this season. One thing I have noticed with is game is that he is playing slightly deeper than usual which can be something our goalie coach has been mentioning or a switch being made if he believes his lateral movement has slowed down at this point in his career. This lack of depth has allowed him to boost his save percentage on long distance shots to the highest in the past four seasons. The downside with this shift in his game is when a play breaks down and leads to a quick opportunity in the high danger/mid-range area or second chance shots in tight off rebounds. As he continues to get settled in with the team, I would like to see him gain more depth in the crease when there is a mid/high danger opportunity which will lead to less room for the shooter to pick. I would also like to see him start to catch pucks to the glove side more cleanly. He lost his shutout vs Buffalo after missing an easy glove save and had several shots to the glove side vs Florida that hit the inside his glove and popped out. 

The improvements we have seen in goal are obvious to see and have led to us having a much better start to the season overall. There is room for improvement and growth especially in Markstroms game. As the workload continues to grow and he starts to see more rubber, I expect this numbers to continue to improve. I wanted to give huge props to Fitzy for addressing this situation last years and providing us with one of the better goalie tandems this year. 

Here's to Allen closing the door vs Florida tonight!






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